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UPDATE: Corona News - The End is NOT Near !!


orville
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Please do not hijack with endless political or off-topic posts, shade, or negativity.

When Will Corona End?

 

It's a computer-modelled prediction of a date when the pandemic will end in different countries. I think it's great news to share with everyone as it gives us some hope to see again our escorts and their beautiful bodies by the beginning of the summer ???? Just being optimistic here, let's keep our fingers crossed! ?

 

 

Screen-Shot-2020-04-27-at-1-53-48-PM.png

Edited by orville
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Please do not hijack with endless political posts, shade, or negativity.

When Will Corona End?

 

It's a computer-modelled prediction of a date when the pandemic will end in different countries, but I think it's great news to share with everyone. It gives us some hope to see again our escorts and their beautiful bodies by the beginning of the summer ???? Just being optimistic here, let's keep our fingers crossed! ?

 

 

Screen-Shot-2020-04-26-at-8-42-38-PM.png

 

Those dates are totally unrealistic.

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I think that by "End" they don't mean the date when there will be zero people infected, or they will find a vaccine, but when most governments will start to ease lockdown measures.

 

How can one know that such intimate behavior is indeed safe for the provider or the client? What happens to Escorts who live in high risk places like parts of New York City or Chelsea, Massachusetts?

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I think you have to read this simply as a hypothetical. There’s a lot of assumptions in this model and I wouldn’t make any decisions around the planning for lifting restrictions based on it.

 

From the summary

 

 

The model-based and data-driven estimation of pandemic life cycle (visualized) and end date predictions, if properly done, may reduce anxiety and prepare the mentality of all of us for the next phases of the epidemic evolution, no matter it is going to improve or worsen. Such predictive monitoring will allow the decisions and planning of the governments and companies that must be made now for the future to be more “future-informed”. Our website complements with the widely available online dashboards and monitors of daily confirmed, death and recovery cases in different countries. We will continually fine tune the prediction and visualization methodology and update the reports on our research lab website (https://ddi.sutd.edu.sg/when-will-covid-19-end/). When more time is available, I plan to update this paper with more analyses and cases, as well as sharing of learning and reflections from this exercise.

 

In the meantime, readers must take any predictions, regardless of the model and data used, with caution. Overly optimism based on some predicted end dates might be dangerous because it may loosen our disciplines and controls and cause the turnaround of the virus and infection rates. Note that the model behind our prediction is only theoretically suitable for one-stage epidemic. The prediction is also conditioned by the quality of the data. The reality is the future is always uncertain. No one predicted the COVID-19 outbreak in October or November 2019, although Bill Gates famously warned about the potential damage of a global infectious disease to the world during a TED Talk in 2015. With acknowledging the uncertain nature of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic and our growing inter-connected and complex world, what are eventually and fundamentally needed are the flexibility, robustness and resilience to deal with unexpected future events and scenarios.

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As Dr. Fauci said, "The virus determines the timeline."

And you are probably right. As of today the website was refreshed with new data and the estimate for the World is now November 26. I just updated the image of my original post. There is finally a 100% estimate date for the US: September 4th.

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And you are probably right. As of today the website was refreshed with new data and the estimate for the World is now November 26. I just updated the image of my original post. There is finally a 100% estimate date for the US: September 4th.

 

 

September - exactly what i've been thinking

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